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Red35
569614.6
228321.7
440016.0
Blue42
352715.3
575015.0
291420.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34310204060801003542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#10
21.70.5
17.417.9
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
red by 1.2
20.50.8
13.414.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
4400
#12
16.00.5
8.18.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 0.7
3527
#19
15.30.8
9.09.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5696
#27
14.60.5
9.19.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5750
#13
15.00.8
10.010.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0