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Red48
347831.9
47468.9
435514.1
Blue40
315817.1
570513.2
352613.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294002060801001201404840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.4
12.814.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
red by 14.8
3158
#15
17.10.0
18.118.2
Auto0.3
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
4355
#20
14.11.4
12.914.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 0.6
3526
#17
13.50.0
14.014.1
Auto0.3
Teleop13.2
End0.0
Third
4746
#39
8.91.4
6.07.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5705
#21
13.20.0
7.67.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0