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Red32
335414.3
463511.6
440320.5
Blue30
552614.9
497725.5
48427.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30280204060803230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#18
20.50.6
11.211.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
25.50.1
14.514.6
Auto0.6
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
3354
#25
14.30.6
9.610.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5526
#11
14.90.1
8.78.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4635
#26
11.60.6
9.810.4
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
red by 4.0
4842
#37
7.60.1
5.75.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0