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Red29
291420.5
43719.6
478213.2
Blue43
35106.2
347216.0
575015.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32250204060801002943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.2
14.214.0
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 4.5
3472
#23
16.01.4
10.912.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
4782
#16
13.20.2
9.08.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5750
#13
15.01.4
10.812.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
4371
#30
9.60.2
8.58.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
red by 3.4
3510
#36
6.21.4
4.86.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0