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Red31
570513.2
569614.6
352715.3
Blue33
46857.1
379419.4
57167.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions262601020304050603133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3527
#19
15.30.3
9.810.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
19.40.5
11.311.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Second
5696
#27
14.60.3
9.710.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
red by 6.8
5716
#35
7.80.5
9.29.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.8
End0.0
Third
5705
#21
13.20.3
7.68.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 6.2
4685
#38
7.10.5
6.87.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.2
End0.0