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Red15
335414.3
477512.6
47319.7
Blue42
352217.9
440016.0
393319.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283802060801001201542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3354
#25
14.31.3
10.28.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 5.5
19.80.4
14.815.2
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
4775
#29
12.61.3
10.49.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 5.3
17.90.4
14.014.4
Auto0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
Third
4731
#32
9.71.3
9.68.4
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 6.3
4400
#12
16.00.4
8.79.0
Auto0.3
Teleop15.8
End0.0