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Red31
440320.5
401010.9
531211.1
Blue53
472315.8
460312.5
541527.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233304060801001203153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#18
20.50.5
11.812.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
blue by 6.6
27.02.2
14.316.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
Second
5312
#33
11.10.5
6.56.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 4.7
4723
#14
15.82.2
9.011.3
Auto0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
4010
#24
10.90.5
7.17.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4603
#28
12.52.2
9.111.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.6
End0.0