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Red80
552614.9
315817.1
575015.0
Blue74
347831.9
473516.4
379419.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383602060801008074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#15
17.13.4
18.221.6
Auto0.3
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 14.8
31.93.1
14.217.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
5750
#13
15.03.4
12.215.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
19.43.1
11.714.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
Third
5526
#11
14.93.4
8.812.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.5
16.43.1
11.414.4
Auto0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0