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Red32
48427.6
335414.3
440016.0
Blue11
478213.2
47468.9
35106.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232201030405060703211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4400
#12
16.00.7
9.09.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 2.8
4782
#16
13.21.0
8.87.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
3354
#25
14.30.7
8.99.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 5.4
4746
#39
8.91.0
8.17.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.1
End0.0
Third
4842
#37
7.60.7
6.06.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
red by 1.4
3510
#36
6.21.0
6.25.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0