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Red38
435514.1
347216.0
570513.2
Blue40
401010.9
393319.8
352715.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323210204050603840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3472
#23
16.00.9
12.313.2
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 3.8
19.81.1
15.216.3
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Second
4355
#20
14.10.9
13.114.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
3527
#19
15.31.1
10.111.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Third
5705
#21
13.20.9
8.08.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 2.4
4010
#24
10.91.1
7.68.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0