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Red38
291420.5
458414.3
53448.8
Blue20
531211.1
477512.6
463511.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33250204060801003820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.9
14.015.0
Auto0.1
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 8.0
4775
#29
12.60.1
9.19.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Second
4584
#22
14.30.9
9.410.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
4635
#26
11.60.1
10.910.8
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
5344
#34
8.80.9
9.210.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5312
#33
11.10.1
6.96.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0