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Red72
379419.4
352217.9
440121.2
Blue51
228321.7
435514.1
48427.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443802060801007251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.22.1
14.917.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2283
#10
21.70.8
17.618.4
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
19.42.1
14.016.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
4355
#20
14.10.8
14.715.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
17.92.1
15.517.7
Auto0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
red by 10.3
4842
#37
7.60.8
8.29.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0