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Red35
473516.4
478213.2
440320.5
Blue46
531211.1
47319.7
570513.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4425060801001201403546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4403
#18
20.50.6
18.918.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.0
End0.0
red by 7.2
5705
#21
13.21.3
11.112.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
Second
16.40.6
15.014.4
Auto0.0
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 5.3
5312
#33
11.11.3
8.09.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
4782
#16
13.20.6
8.98.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 3.5
4731
#32
9.71.3
9.611.0
Auto0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0