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Red65
477512.6
569614.6
352217.9
Blue78
401010.9
347216.0
347831.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315402040801001201401606578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.91.8
15.917.6
Auto0.0
Teleop17.9
End0.0
blue by 14.1
31.91.6
30.932.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
5696
#27
14.61.8
9.411.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3472
#23
16.01.6
12.313.9
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4775
#29
12.61.8
10.812.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 1.7
4010
#24
10.91.6
8.810.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0