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Red98
379419.4
541527.0
570513.2
Blue63
35106.2
440016.0
440121.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions523502060801001201401609863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.02.8
24.827.6
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
21.21.4
19.921.4
Auto0.0
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
19.42.8
16.319.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 3.3
4400
#12
16.01.4
14.616.1
Auto0.3
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
5705
#21
13.22.8
10.413.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 7.0
3510
#36
6.21.4
4.86.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0