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Red27
478213.2
477512.6
315817.1
Blue18
352715.3
53448.8
463511.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3625060801001201402718

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3158
#15
17.10.8
17.817.0
Auto0.3
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 1.8
3527
#19
15.30.8
8.67.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.2
End0.0
Second
4782
#16
13.20.8
7.56.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
4635
#26
11.60.8
8.88.0
Auto0.1
Teleop11.5
End0.0
Third
4775
#29
12.60.8
10.710.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 3.8
5344
#34
8.80.8
10.69.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.0
End0.0