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Red17
440016.0
531211.1
379419.4
Blue66
497725.5
228321.7
393319.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2540060801001201401601766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.0
11.510.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop19.4
End0.0
blue by 6.2
25.52.2
11.613.8
Auto0.6
Teleop24.9
End0.0
Second
4400
#12
16.01.0
8.47.4
Auto0.3
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 5.7
2283
#10
21.72.2
17.019.2
Auto0.5
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5312
#33
11.11.0
8.77.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 8.7
19.82.2
10.512.7
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0