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Red2
35106.2
48427.6
401010.9
Blue3
43719.6
347831.9
552614.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2129040608010012014016023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4010
#24
10.91.8
7.76.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 21.0
31.91.7
12.610.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Second
4842
#37
7.61.8
7.65.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.7
End0.0
blue by 7.3
5526
#11
14.91.7
8.97.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3510
#36
6.21.8
7.76.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.3
End0.0
blue by 3.4
4371
#30
9.61.7
7.55.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.7
End0.0