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Red90
58716.2
397124.6
264016.3
Blue93
205922.2
122532.9
90017.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497301001502009093

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.7
23.724.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 8.3
32.90.4
32.632.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
2640
#19
16.30.6
15.616.2
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 5.9
22.20.4
21.922.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
587
#16
16.20.6
15.416.0
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
900
#30
17.60.4
17.217.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0