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Red65
58716.2
397124.6
264016.3
Blue72
205922.2
122532.9
90017.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517401001502006572

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.2
24.424.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
blue by 8.3
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
2640
#19
16.30.1
16.216.3
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 5.9
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
587
#16
16.20.1
16.016.2
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 1.4
900
#30
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0