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Red46
453410.8
264016.3
567911.8
Blue10
37015.6
551124.3
32156.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2926010204050604610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#19
16.31.1
11.913.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 8.0
24.312.7
20.88.1
Auto0.2
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
5679
#22
11.81.9
11.89.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 5.8
3215
#45
6.00.4
8.17.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
4534
#25
10.81.4
9.110.5
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 5.2
3701
#50
5.60.4
10.410.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0