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Red24
36803.9
499610.6
453313.9
Blue8
379610.2
47674.9
57276.3
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23220103040506070248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.90.2
4.14.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 3.7
3796
#36
10.21.4
9.27.8
Auto0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Second
4996
#35
10.60.2
7.67.9
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 4.3
5727
#47
6.30.8
6.37.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0
Third
3680
#53
3.90.2
9.59.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
4767
#43
4.91.4
7.25.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0