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Qual 102015 North Carolina Regional
Red13
382216.6
36803.9
567911.8
Blue5
36616.4
28908.1
48165.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29280102040506070135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#12
16.61.2
8.3→7.1
Auto0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 8.5
2890
#52
8.11.6
12.5→10.9
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
Second
5679
#22
11.81.2
9.9→8.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
red by 5.4
3661
#44
6.41.6
10.8→9.2
Auto0.4
Teleop6.0
End0.0
Third
3680
#53
3.91.2
9.7→8.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 1.5
4816
#46
5.31.6
7.1→5.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0