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Red30
516021.8
90017.6
345918.7
Blue0
57623.9
544612.4
519015.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542204080100120140300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.7
11.59.8
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 6.8
5190
#32
15.00.8
10.49.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
3459
#17
18.71.4
20.318.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop18.7
End0.0
red by 6.2
5446
#28
12.44.7
12.47.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
900
#30
17.61.4
18.917.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 13.7
5762
#54
3.93.8
3.97.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0