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Qual 122015 North Carolina Regional
Red65
122532.9
429013.5
32297.7
Blue17
264221.4
554310.0
264016.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413902060806517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1225
#1
32.91.4
23.7→25.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
2642
#13
21.42.1
18.0→15.9
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
4290
#15
13.52.0
8.6→10.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 2.8
2640
#19
16.31.5
13.0→11.4
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
3229
#37
7.72.0
9.2→11.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5543
#24
10.02.1
11.2→9.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0