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Red32
4359.9
333622.2
42915.4
Blue28
37015.6
53233.9
551815.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292801020405060703228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.2
10.410.7
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 6.9
5518
#11
15.20.2
11.411.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
435
#41
9.90.2
9.810.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 4.3
3701
#50
5.60.2
10.09.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0
Third
4291
#42
5.40.2
8.99.1
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End0.0
red by 1.6
5323
#55
3.90.2
9.08.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0