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Red20
264115.3
554413.4
379610.2
Blue22
499610.6
32156.0
205922.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373002060801002022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#26
15.30.8
16.615.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 6.9
22.20.6
16.215.6
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
5544
#14
13.41.4
12.511.1
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 2.8
4996
#35
10.60.8
7.97.1
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
3796
#36
10.21.4
7.86.4
Auto0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 4.2
3215
#45
6.00.8
7.76.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.1
End0.0