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Red39
397124.6
373710.3
544612.4
Blue10
141313.7
57276.3
453410.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300102040506070803910

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.7
11.011.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 10.9
1413
#33
13.71.9
15.613.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
5446
#28
12.40.7
7.78.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 1.7
4534
#25
10.81.9
10.58.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
3737
#27
10.30.7
12.212.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
red by 4.0
5727
#47
6.31.9
7.15.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0