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Qual 242015 North Carolina Regional
Red60
58716.2
499610.6
376311.9
Blue30
268212.8
264221.4
36803.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27320501001502002503003506030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#16
16.21.7
10.8→12.5
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 5.2
2642
#13
21.40.2
15.9→15.7
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
3763
#29
11.92.6
10.8→13.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 1.0
2682
#20
12.80.2
7.9→7.7
Auto0.3
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4996
#35
10.62.6
7.1→9.7
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 6.7
3680
#53
3.90.2
8.5→8.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0