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Qual 252015 North Carolina Regional
Red50
340215.1
382216.6
516021.8
Blue35
264016.3
90017.6
373710.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242060801001201405035

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#7
21.82.0
9.6→11.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 4.2
900
#30
17.60.0
16.2→16.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Second
3822
#12
16.62.0
7.5→9.5
Auto0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 0.3
2640
#19
16.30.0
11.4→11.5
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Third
3402
#21
15.12.0
8.8→10.8
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 4.8
3737
#27
10.30.0
12.9→12.9
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0