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Red36
33316.9
32297.7
554413.4
Blue2
32708.8
453313.9
48297.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31170406080100362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5544
#14
13.40.5
11.111.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
13.91.0
4.73.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Second
3229
#37
7.70.5
11.211.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 1.1
3270
#39
8.81.5
6.24.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
3331
#38
6.90.5
7.78.2
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4829
#51
7.61.5
8.67.2
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0