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Red18
319614.2
544612.4
36803.9
Blue0
57623.9
37015.6
429013.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33240406080180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3196
#31
14.21.2
14.713.5
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 0.8
4290
#15
13.51.7
9.67.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Second
5446
#28
12.41.2
9.68.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
red by 6.8
3701
#50
5.61.7
8.36.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0
Third
3680
#53
3.91.2
8.37.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
Level
5762
#54
3.91.7
8.26.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0