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Red56
141313.7
252813.7
350622.5
Blue83
453313.9
456115.7
264016.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions422602060801005683

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.50.8
17.818.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 6.2
2640
#19
16.32.7
11.514.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
2528
#18
13.71.3
10.511.8
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4561
#34
15.72.7
14.417.0
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
1413
#33
13.71.3
12.413.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
blue by 0.2
13.92.7
3.76.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0