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Red50
32708.8
28908.1
499610.6
Blue53
48165.3
48297.6
544612.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2420010304050605053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4996
#35
10.62.6
10.012.6
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5446
#28
12.42.6
8.411.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Second
3270
#39
8.82.6
4.87.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
red by 1.2
4829
#51
7.62.6
7.29.8
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0
Third
2890
#52
8.12.6
9.812.5
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
red by 2.7
4816
#46
5.32.6
6.38.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0