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Red27
90017.6
53233.9
36616.4
Blue28
482812.7
32297.7
379610.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322801020405060702728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#30
17.60.3
15.915.6
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 4.9
4828
#23
12.70.2
13.113.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Second
3661
#44
6.40.5
9.79.3
Auto0.4
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 3.9
3796
#36
10.20.2
7.17.0
Auto0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0
Third
5323
#55
3.90.5
7.36.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3229
#37
7.70.2
9.79.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0