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Qual 442015 North Carolina Regional
Red6
47956.4
456115.7
554413.4
Blue12
36803.9
264016.3
519015.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3332010204050607080612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4561
#34
15.71.4
17.0→15.6
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
2640
#19
16.31.1
14.1→13.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
Second
5544
#14
13.42.3
10.5→8.2
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
blue by 1.6
5190
#32
15.01.8
12.4→10.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
4795
#49
6.42.3
6.1→3.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
red by 2.5
3680
#53
3.91.8
7.1→5.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0