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Qual 452015 North Carolina Regional
Red10
57623.9
340215.1
48165.3
Blue26
205922.2
376311.9
33316.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2136060801001201401601026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3402
#21
15.11.2
8.9→7.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 7.1
2059
#8
22.20.4
14.4→14.0
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
4816
#46
5.31.2
8.9→7.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 6.5
3763
#29
11.90.7
12.9→12.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
5762
#54
3.91.2
6.5→5.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 2.9
3331
#38
6.90.7
7.4→6.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0