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Red23
36616.4
122532.9
350622.5
Blue42
407321.4
90017.6
264115.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5353253540455055602342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.6
25.624.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
21.40.6
20.519.8
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Second
22.51.6
20.318.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 4.9
900
#30
17.60.6
15.614.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
Third
3661
#44
6.42.7
9.36.6
Auto0.4
Teleop6.0
End0.0
blue by 8.9
2641
#26
15.30.6
18.818.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0