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Red8
37015.6
32297.7
519015.0
Blue24
456115.7
373710.3
499610.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244306080100120140160824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5190
#32
15.01.7
10.68.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.7
4561
#34
15.70.9
15.614.8
Auto0.1
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Second
3229
#37
7.71.7
9.57.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4996
#35
10.61.5
12.611.1
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Third
3701
#50
5.61.7
8.06.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 4.7
3737
#27
10.31.5
13.712.2
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0