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Red26
42915.4
32297.7
56077.5
Blue30
350622.5
333622.2
429013.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24350501001502002502630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#37
7.70.1
9.39.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.8
End0.0
blue by 14.8
22.50.3
14.914.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
5607
#40
7.51.0
7.58.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 14.6
22.20.4
10.810.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
Third
4291
#42
5.40.1
8.98.9
Auto0.1
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 8.0
4290
#15
13.50.4
9.08.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0