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Qual 62015 North Carolina Regional
Red62
373710.3
376311.9
551815.2
Blue92
407321.4
554413.4
122532.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244701001506292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
#11
15.23.9
15.2→11.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 17.7
1225
#1
32.93.1
20.6→23.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
3763
#29
11.92.8
10.1→13.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 9.6
4073
#5
21.43.1
15.7→18.9
Auto0.6
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
3737
#27
10.32.8
9.4→12.2
Auto0.1
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 3.1
5544
#14
13.40.9
13.4→12.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0