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Red12
32708.8
53233.9
38456.7
Blue15
205922.2
47956.4
268212.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23360501001502002501215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3270
#39
8.81.2
9.38.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
blue by 13.5
22.20.9
17.116.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
3845
#48
6.71.2
6.65.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 6.1
2682
#20
12.87.2
14.57.4
Auto0.3
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
5323
#55
3.91.2
10.29.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0
blue by 2.5
4795
#49
6.41.2
9.38.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0