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Red129
205922.2
397124.6
516021.8
Blue93
551124.3
453313.9
264221.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383720608010012012993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.67.5
14.021.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
red by 0.3
24.34.6
15.319.9
Auto0.2
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Second
22.24.5
14.018.5
Auto0.4
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 0.8
2642
#13
21.44.6
14.619.2
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
21.87.5
11.519.0
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
red by 7.9
13.92.7
8.311.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.9
End0.0