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Qual 522015 North Carolina Regional
Red18
4359.9
48165.3
58716.2
Blue26
141313.7
429013.5
38456.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2826010204050601826

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
587
#16
16.20.5
10.6→10.1
Auto0.0
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 2.5
1413
#33
13.70.2
11.2→11.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Second
435
#41
9.90.5
9.8→9.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4290
#15
13.50.2
10.9→10.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Third
4816
#46
5.30.8
7.7→6.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 1.4
3845
#48
6.70.2
6.0→5.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0