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Red20
57276.3
33316.9
57623.9
Blue58
382216.6
554413.4
482812.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163304060801001201402058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3331
#38
6.90.1
6.76.8
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0
blue by 9.7
3822
#12
16.62.2
10.712.8
Auto0.0
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Second
5727
#47
6.30.1
7.37.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5544
#14
13.42.2
8.210.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5762
#54
3.90.1
5.35.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.0
End0.0
blue by 8.8
4828
#23
12.72.2
13.015.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.7
End0.0