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Qual 542015 North Carolina Regional
Red4
264016.3
47674.9
28908.1
Blue12
252813.7
376311.9
48297.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2336050100150412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2640
#19
16.31.1
13.0→12.0
Auto0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 2.6
2528
#18
13.71.9
15.0→13.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
Second
2890
#52
8.11.8
10.4→8.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 3.8
3763
#29
11.91.9
12.1→10.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.9
End0.0
Third
4767
#43
4.91.8
2.4→0.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4829
#51
7.61.9
7.7→5.8
Auto0.4
Teleop7.2
End0.0