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Red58
379610.2
48165.3
122532.9
Blue23
397124.6
37015.6
268212.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions374101001502005823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.91.0
24.024.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop33.1
End0.0
red by 8.3
24.61.6
21.519.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop24.6
End0.0
Second
3796
#36
10.21.6
8.09.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2682
#20
12.81.6
14.312.7
Auto0.3
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4816
#46
5.31.6
6.88.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.3
End0.0
blue by 0.3
3701
#50
5.61.6
6.34.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.7
End0.0