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Red48
90017.6
554413.4
264221.4
Blue0
53233.9
141313.7
319614.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320206080100120480

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#13
21.40.3
19.219.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 7.2
3196
#31
14.21.9
17.015.0
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Second
900
#30
17.60.2
14.915.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
red by 3.9
1413
#33
13.71.9
11.19.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.7
End0.0
Third
5544
#14
13.40.3
10.410.7
Auto0.7
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 9.5
5323
#55
3.91.9
7.05.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop3.9
End0.0