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Qual 632015 North Carolina Regional
Red42
333622.2
47674.9
252813.7
Blue14
453410.8
33316.9
32708.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2926010204050604214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3336
#4
22.21.1
15.4→16.4
Auto0.1
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 11.4
4534
#25
10.81.1
10.8→9.7
Auto0.5
Teleop10.3
End0.0
Second
2528
#18
13.71.1
13.1→14.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 4.9
3270
#39
8.81.1
9.5→8.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop8.8
End0.0
Third
4767
#43
4.91.1
0.6→1.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 1.9
3331
#38
6.91.1
6.8→5.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.7
End0.0