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Red63
429013.5
340215.1
551815.2
Blue56
499610.6
153325.4
516021.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions235901001502006356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5518
#11
15.23.3
10.814.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 10.1
1533
#10
25.40.3
25.425.8
Auto1.1
Teleop24.2
End0.0
Second
3402
#21
15.13.3
7.711.0
Auto0.0
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 6.7
21.80.5
19.019.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.7
End0.0
Third
4290
#15
13.53.3
10.714.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop13.5
End0.0
red by 2.9
4996
#35
10.60.5
11.111.6
Auto0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0